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Monday, October 22, 2012

NWC Week 9 picks...


Pacific (OR) vs Lewis & Clark
       (2-4)                 (4-3)

Last Week:  Pacific is coming off of a bye week.  Lewis & Clark is coming off a 63-0 loss to third-ranked Linfield.  The Pios offense was held to 207 yards, including 42 yards rushing on 44 carries.  QB Keith Welch went 4-16 for 50 yards with no touchdowns and no interceptions.  The L&C defense also got shredded on Saturday, giving up 513 yards of offense, including 381 through the air, to the ‘Cat Attack.    

Thoughts entering the game:  These two teams are headed in opposite directions going into Saturday.  Pacific, who went 1-17 in 2010 and 2011 combined, are 2-4 on the season, and were competitive with both Whitworth and Pacific Lutheran, two of the better teams in the NWC.  Lewis & Clark started out the season 4-0 and playing as well as could be on both sides of the ball, but have had their world rocked in their past three games, getting outscored 150-34 by PLU, Willamette, and Linfield.  Statistically, the two teams look similar; Lewis & Clark’s offense s averaging 26.9 points (sixth in the NWC) and 381.9 yards (sixth in the NWC).  The Boxers offense is averaging 28 points and 390.3 yards per game, both ranking fifth in the conference.  The Pio defense gives up 35.1 points and 411.6 yards, ranking sixth and fifth in the conference respectively; the Pacific defense gives up 33 points and 411 yards of offense per game, which ranks fifth and fourth in the conference respectively.  A win for Pacific would please their fan base tremendously, while Lewis & Clark desperately needs a win to not only secure a winning season, but to regain some of the mojo that they’ve lost in their three-game losing streak.  This game can go either way.      

Winner:  Lewis & Clark

Pacific Lutheran vs Pudget Sound
                (4-2)              (0-6)

Last Week:  Pudget Sound is coming off another devastating loss, this one 70-11 to a Whitworth team that needed a real pick-me-up after losing to Willamette and Linfield back to back.  The Logger defense gave up 494 yards and 8.0 yards per play to Whitworth, allowing Ronnie Thomas to rush the ball 23 times for 122 yards and two touchdowns.  Quarterback Bryan Peterson went 11-13 for 183 yards and four touchdowns with no interceptions.  The Pudget Sound offense was held to 315 yards on the day, and turned the ball over six times, including five interceptions.  Pacific Lutheran is coming off a 41-27 victory over previously undefeated and then-ranked #22 Willamette.  On defense, the Lutes gave up 440 yards, but they held Willamette running back Dylan Jones to 20 yards on 11 carries, and they forced three turnovers, including an 80-yard pick six to open the second half.  On offense, Richey Dalton had a monster game, going 16-28 for 197 yards with one touchdown and one interception, and rushed 14 times for 65 yards and three touchdowns.  The Lutes controlled the ball for 37 minutes in the game, boosted by their legendary 18 play, 99 yard touchdown drive in the fourth quarter that took 9:47 off the clock to seal the deal.      

Thoughts entering the game:  After winning in impressive fashion against Willamette last week, it’s beginning to look like Pacific Lutheran may be the second-best team in the NWC in 2012, just like the coaches predicted in the pre-season poll.  Granted, they still have tough games against Whitworth and Menlo after this, but Pudget Sound should end up getting their rear handed to them again this week as the Lutes come into town.  Pacific Lutheran’s defense once again ranks second in the conference, but it’s their improved offense that has allowed them to assert themselves in 2012.  Pacific Lutheran was the second-worst offensive team in the NWC in 2011; so far this season, the Lutes have averaged 31.3 points and 395 yards of offense per game, both ranking fourth in the NWC.  Look for Pacific Lutheran to win big.       

Winner:  Pacific Lutheran          

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