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Monday, October 29, 2012

NWC Picks Week 10...


Willamette vs Pacific (OR)
         (6-2)              (3-4)

Last Week:  Willamette is coming off a 45-10 spanking administered to them by Linfield.  The Bearcat offense was held to a season-low 108 yards of offense, and quarterback Josh Dean was held to 13-30 for 96 yards with zero touchdowns and two interceptions, getting sacked seven times along the way.  The Bearcat defense held up strong in the first half against Linfield, but then gave up 239 yards and 35 points in the second half against the ‘Cat Attack.  Pacific is coming off an impressive 42-20 victory over Lewis & Clark on Saturday.  The Boxers offense piled up 607 yards of total offense, the highest total since the football program was reinstated in 2010.  Leading the way was Quarterback P.J Minaya, who went 21-32 for 442 yards and four touchdowns with one interception.  The Boxers defense gave up 442 yards to the Pios, but forced five turnovers for the game.      

Thoughts entering the game:  Willamette is coming off two straight losses against the top two teams in the NWC standings, and looking for someone to pound away their frustrations on.  Pacific is a team that comes in with sky-high confidence.  In NWC play, The boxers blew away Pudget Sound and Lewis & Clark while hanging tough with Whitworth and Pacific Lutheran.  Even though they lost to Willamette 51-17 earlier in the season, the Boxers have gotten a lot better since that game, and will look to knock off Willamette at home.  The thing to look at in this match-up is the battle between the top-two passing teams in the NWC; Willamette comes into the game averaging 38.2 points and 489 yards of offense on the season, ranking second and first in the conference respectively.  Josh Dean Leads the air show, completing 66 percent of his passes for 2,665 yards and 29 touchdowns with 11 interceptions on the year.  The Boxers come into the game averaging 30 points (fifth in the NWC) and 421 yards of offense per game (Third in NWC), showing major strides on that side of the ball this season.  Quarterback P.J Minaya has completed 67 percent of his passes this season for 1,848 yards and 16 touchdowns with 10 interceptions.  While Pacific has the potential to pull an upset, their defense had no answers for Willamette’s offense earlier in the season, and I see no reason why that will change.    

Winner:  Willamette


Whitworth vs Pacific Lutheran
       (6-2)              (5-2)

Last Week:  Whitworth is coming off a bye week, which was preceded by a 70-11 win over Pudget Sound.  Pacific Lutheran is coming off a 41-14 win over Pudget Sound, surviving five turnovers and a 14-7 first half deficit to eventually rout the Loggers.  On offense, the lutes racked up 387 yards, including a season-high 251 yards on the ground.  Cody Pohren gained 100 yards and a touchdown on 13 carries, while Niko Madison added 61 yards and two touchdowns on seven carries.  Quarterback Richey Dalton went 12-20 for 136 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions, and racked up 47 yards on 10 carries on the ground.  The PLU defense held the Loggers to 267 yards of offense for the game, and forced five turnovers themselves.  The only downside was that Loggers running back Austin Wagner produced 105 yards on 17 carries on the ground.      

Thoughts entering the game:  This game has major implications in terms of the Northwest conference standings:  If Pacific Lutheran wins, they’ll finish the season in second place in the conference, no matter what happens in their finale against Menlo.  If Whitworth wins, it opens the door for a three-way tie for second place between PLU, Whitworth, and Willamette.  The Whitworth offense continues to be an enigma in 2012, looking unstoppable in some games and pathetic in others; the Pirates average 34.1 points and 373.8 yards, ranking third and last in the NWC respectively.  The pirates have a big-three on offense between QB Bryan Peterson. RB Ronnie Thomas, and WR Jake DeGooyer.  Averaging 32.7 points and 393.9 yards, The Lutes feature a high-powered passing attack lead by QB Richey Dalton and WRs Kyle Warner and Kelle Westering.  The big difference in the game comes down to defense:  PLU has the second-best defense in the conference, while Whitworth’s defense tanks near the bottom of the NWC. 

Winner:  Pacific Lutheran          

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